Rand poses 'real risk'

(Fin24) - The deterioration in SA's growth/inflation trade-off should stay limited unless the rand weakens sharply, says chief economist for Citigroup in SA, Jean Mercier.

He adds that he does view the threat to the rand as "a real risk".

"Despite being sheltered from the subprime crisis, growth in SA is suffering from an inflation-induced tightening of monetary policy," says Mercier.

Reuters reports that the rand weakened one percent against the dollar on Monday, tracking weaker global markets as investors fled risky assets.

Read more at Fin24

Electronics makers keep eye on U.S. economy

(Reuters) - Electronics makers considering the strain on the U.S. economy are hoping consumers will cut other expenses first, but many see some worrying signs ahead.

Gathered in Las Vegas this week for the Consumer Electronics Show, gadget, cell phone and television makers are placing their bets on whether U.S. economic troubles from rising unemployment to mortgage market problems will stop consumer spending.

"We need to watch just how cold sentiment is getting," Toshihiko Fujimoto, chief executive of Sharp Corp's (6753.T: Quote, Profile, Research) Sharp Electronics, said on Sunday. "We can't say business is especially good."

Sony Corp's (6758.T: Quote, Profile, Research) Sony Electronics President Stan Glasgow, who oversees the U.S. electronics business, told Reuters the company had strong sales in recent months, boosted by demand for its Bravia line of televisions.

 

Read more at Reuters

Wal-Mart May Appeal $33.5 Million North Carolina Court Decision

(Bloomberg) -- Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, may appeal a judge's dismissal of its attempt to get a $33.5 million refund from North Carolina's tax authorities.

The retailer contends it's entitled to the return of taxes and penalties it paid after the state said it couldn't deduct store rents to Wal-Mart real estate units.

The decision threatens tax deductions Bentonville, Arkansas-based Wal-Mart and other companies can get by paying rent to real-estate investment trust units that transfer tax- free income to their owners. The Wall Street Journal reported that Wal-Mart may have saved $230 million in state taxes across the U.S. over four years through similar arrangements.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Trade Deficit Probably Widened on Oil: U.S. Economy Preview

(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. trade deficit probably widened in November as Americans spent a record amount on imported oil, economists said a report this week may show.

The gap between imports and exports expanded to $59.5 billion, a five-month high, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of the Commerce Department's Jan. 11 report. Earlier in the week, a private report may show a decline in contracts to buy existing homes.

The trade report is also likely to show exports continued to increase, preventing a steeper decline in manufacturing. Sales to customers overseas are even more important now that rising fuel prices, a deepening housing slump and rising unemployment threaten to stall economic growth.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

US STOCKS-Market sinks as jobs data stirs recession fears

(Reuters) - U.S. stocks tumbled on Friday, dragging the Dow to its worst three-day start to a year since the Great Depression, as a sharp rise in the unemployment rate heightened fears the economy is heading into a recession.

Technology shares were the worst performer in a broad-based decline after chip maker Intel Corp skidded 8.1 percent on concerns that businesses are unlikely to upgrade computer equipment in the face of a slowdown.

The Nasdaq fell 3.77 percent, bringing the index to its worst three-day kick-off to a new year since it was created in 1971.

The U.S. Labor Department reported job creation nearly ground to a halt in December and unemployment rose to a two-year high of 5 percent.

"The payroll numbers are showing that we don't have the jobs, and if you don't have job income you don't have consumers doing any spending," said Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co. of Springfield, New Jersey. "I don't think there's much question we're in a recession now."

 

Read more at Reuters

U.S. Stocks Fall After Job Growth Misses Forecast; Apple Drops

(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. stock market got off to its worst start since 2000 after government reports on jobs and manufacturing added to concern the economy will sink into recession.

Apple Inc., maker of the iPod music player, fell the most since April 2005 and was the biggest drag on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. Apple declined after Intel Corp., the largest chipmaker, was downgraded by JPMorgan Chase & Co. Alcoa Inc., Home Depot Inc. and Hewlett-Packard Co. led the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its third retreat in four days.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Consumers late payers on most loans since recession

(Reuters) - Americans are falling further behind on consumer loans, with late payments rising to the highest level since the nation's last recession in 2001, data released Thursday show.

In its quarterly study of consumer borrowing, the American Bankers Association said the percentage of loans at least 30 days past due rose to 2.44 percent in the July-to-September period from 2.27 percent in the previous quarter.

The delinquency rate, which covers eight loan categories, was the highest since a 2.51 percent rate in the second quarter of 2001. Late payments on some types of loans rose to levels not seen since the 1990s.

The ABA attributed some of the summer increase to rising oil prices and the inability of thousands of homeowners to keep up with mortgage payments.

 

Read more at Reuters