Monday, February 11, 2008

Wall Street Shareholders Suffer Losses Partners Never Imagined

(Bloomberg) -- Less than a decade after Wall Street's last major partnership went public, stockholders are paying the price for bankrolling the industry's expanding risk appetite.

Four of the five biggest U.S. securities firms lost about $83 billion of market value last year, almost 90 percent of their net income since 1999, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That cut the annual average return for Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch & Co., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. during those nine years to 9.7 percent from 16.8 percent.

The private partnerships that once dominated Wall Street guarded their capital, used less leverage and limited their risk to trading blocks of stock for clients and shares of companies in mergers, said Roy Smith, a finance professor at New York University's Stern School of Business and a former partner at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Since raising money from the public, many of the biggest firms have abandoned that caution.

``If you're betting with other peoples' money, you're more willing to take risk than if it's your own,'' said Anson Beard, 71, who retired from Morgan Stanley in 1994 after 17 years at the New York-based company, where he ran the equities division and helped with the initial public offering in 1986. ``You think differently if you're paid in cash and not in ownership. It's heads you win, tails you don't lose.''

Shareholders, stung by the securities industry's losses last year on subprime mortgage-backed bonds and leveraged loans, may be in for more pain.

Shrinking Fees

Morgan Stanley, Merrill, Lehman and Bear Stearns have lost between 3 percent and 19 percent of their value this year in New York Stock Exchange trading on concern that they may be forced to take more writedowns if bond insurers like MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc. are stripped of their top credit ratings. Revenue from structured credit and leveraged finance has dropped and demand for takeover advice and underwriting may dwindle as the U.S. economy slows, analysts say.

Even Goldman has faltered. New York-based Goldman, which went public in May 1999, evaded last year's market losses and reaped record earnings. This year, the biggest and most profitable securities firm has lost 13 percent in NYSE trading, while analysts predict earnings will drop as equity stakes in companies such as Beijing-based Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. lose value and investment-banking fees decline.

Merrill, which went public in 1971, outperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index in just five of the past 10 years. The largest U.S. brokerage paid more to employees last year than it collected in revenue. Morgan Stanley, public since 1986, beat the index in four of the past 10 years. Both New York-based companies diluted investors' stock last year when they sold stakes to foreign governments to shore up capital.

Other People's Money

``Shareholders share in the downside and not necessarily in the upside, that's the whole story,'' said John Gutfreund, 78, who ran Salomon Brothers in the 1980s when it was renowned for the size of its trading bets. ``It's OPM: Other People's Money.''

To be sure, the firms have been good investments over a longer period. Merrill rose at an average annual rate of 14.7 percent, including dividends, from 1980 through the end of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bear Stearns returned an average 15.2 percent since the end of 1985 and Lehman's average annual gain was 25.5 percent since it became a separately listed company at the end of 1994.

While none of the companies are more than one-third owned by employees today, senior executives typically receive at least half their pay in shares. At Merrill, top managers get 60 percent of their compensation in stock; they're required to keep three quarters of it each year and are prohibited from hedging it, according to the brokerage's proxy statement.
 

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